H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Rebuilding ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has enhanced modestly since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and extremely effective cyclone that triggered huge destruction and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever hit the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with big locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane warnings have actually now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy ought to spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a cyclone that could bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand people, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated hurricane warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to cyclone expert Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane professionals previously cautioned cyclones could form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe risks and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy